HotView "This Time It's Different!" and "Those Who Fear Heights Are Destined to Suffer"

"This Time It's Different!" and "Those Who Fear Heights Are Destined to Suffer"

1111.webp

@AlphaFund: Does history always repeat itself? This chart perfectly explains "crowding" 📊

If you understand this chart, you'll know why AI stocks are so hot right now.

Bank of America compared four epic instances of "crowding":

• 1970s Nifty Fifty: Once surged to 40% of the S&P 500

• 1980s Japanese Bubble: Surged to 44% of the global index

• 2000s Tech Bubble: Surged to 41%

• 2020s AI Giants: Now it has surged to 41%, exactly the same as the previous peaks

To put it bluntly:
Hot money piles into a handful of leading stocks, driving their weighting higher and higher until it becomes unsustainable.
The narrative is different every time (Consumption/Japan/Internet/AI), but the script is pretty much the same:
First, a collective euphoria, then a collective crash.

History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes.
The concentration in AI leaders has now reached the peak zones of past bubbles, a signal worth keeping a close eye on.

Comments (0)

No comments yet, be the first!
微信
微信扫一扫关注我们

微信扫一扫关注我们